Three Reasons Evaluation Isn’t Enough
Jamila treks nearly a kilometer up a hill with two buckets of water to her mother-in-law’s home. She has to hurry, so her mother-in-law will not yell at her. As she quietly boils the water for tea, trying not to wake her newborn in the cradle, she sees a big white Land Cruiser speed by. The baby wakes and as she comforts him, she hears the muffled voices two houses down. Evaluators ask one of the village’s landowners how the new wells are working.
“Very well!” he says enthusiastically, showing them the well in front of his house. Jamila has seen the well, which she knows to be the landowner’s. She probably wouldn’t change her mind about this even if she knew that she was one of the 1,570 people counted among the those with “access to clean water” simply because she is a resident of the village.
She has been counted, and the project evaluated. But the numbers belie the true extent of the project’s impact. Though intended to provide drinking water for hundreds, the well was captured by one individual who may not even have been aware of the well’s intended purpose.
Whether charitable gifts are given to bilateral or non-governmental development agencies, or today’s private-sector inspired philanthropic funds, they are evaluated and numbers collected, as parts of “results frameworks” or “social return on investment” indices.
Databases of indicators like IRIS and Sustainable Measures follow in the footsteps of the SPHERE standards, World Bank indicators database and its Voices of the Poor initiative, and Millennium Development Goals and myriad of related databases sitting in offices worldwide. The lack of measurement is not the problem. The problem is that measurement is not enough.
There are three primary reasons.
1. We evaluate the wrong things and talk to the wrong people
The private sector has the beautifully predictive model of supply and demand to simplify its metrics. The public sector, however, deals with need, not demand, and these are fundamentally different values. The needy do not have the power to negotiate the terms of benefits, because the giver nearly always operates in a monopoly.
Without a predictive model of the economy of need, demand, supply and lack, organizations and foundations often flounder in a sea of proxy indicators. Too often, these indicators do not correlate with actual change occurring in people’s lives, because we fail to ask them, or we do not listen to their answers. Outsiders evaluate success; foreigners interpret results.
The well has been counted, but its full impact is not understood, because the person it was intended for has not been given a voice.
2. We don’t stay long enough
In the private sector, for-profit enterprises take years to analyze and develop a relationship with their customer base and understand the cultural context in which they operate. But many charitable groups enter a country during emergencies and are unwilling or unable to engage with their potential end-users and clients. To complicate things, the social sciences are notoriously vague and time-consuming to study, mostly because of their complex subjects. If homo economicus is sometimes puzzling, homo egenus—the person who has no monetary power to support her interests—is downright mysterious. More market research is required of the non-profit sector, and yet it is done much less often.
To get results, some evaluators cut corners and fail to get adequate sample sizes or ignore confounding factors; long-term evaluations are simply not conducted and results from short studies are used as proxies; or evaluations go unfinished. When proper studies are done, people complain about the expense, and that results are rarely as clear-cut as they had hoped.
How long will the well in Jamila’s village last before it is broken? Has the supposed “access to clean water” resulted in a healthier, more productive population? Nobody knows.
3. We don’t face failure
Near the end of last year, on his blog “Rick on the Road”, Rick Davies suggested that the development community adopt a Minimum Level of Failure. His proposal suggests that philanthropic investors eliminate at least 10% of their investments on a regular basis. As Davies pointed out, “Biological evolution is NOT about the survival of the fittest, but the non-survival of the least fit. This process leaves room for some diversity amongst those that survive, and it is this diversity that enables further evolution. The lesson here is that the process of evolution is not about picking winners according to some global standard of fitness, but about culling of failures based on their lack of fitness to local circumstances.”
Many investors and donors consider the stakes too high to allow failure. But failure is happening anyway. The question is whether it is acknowledged, and the offending project or enterprise is cut off so that funds can be re-directed to allow success to flourish more.
If Jamila’s experience is representative of the entire well-installation endeavor, the project should not be continued. And yet, unlike in the private sector, in which underperforming enterprises are regularly defunded, this project and the organization or enterprise working on it will probably be funded for the same thing the following year.
What should philanthropic organizations and other charities do?
The solutions sound trite, but only because they are hard to follow and therefore oft repeated. Philanthropists need to listen to those receiving services and goods, their “customers”. Investors need to stay long enough to understand complicated answers that do not fit into a quantitative box. Only then will they be able to move their funds from non-performers to the performing social enterprises that will take development forward. Perhaps as the new generation of philanthropists come to the fore, we can finally start taking some of these to heart.
Insaan’s Thought Blog
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